Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 98.348640 109.187035 120.346302 132.668122 145.865561 159.550918 174.788680
2025-03-30 81.369861 97.467532 114.909151 135.094133 157.692307 182.097961 210.331685
2025-04-06 67.071490 86.475751 108.541830 135.198153 166.230035 200.928251 242.364177
2025-04-13 56.207064 77.774813 103.442668 135.682527 174.527912 219.274367 274.147546
2025-04-20 49.357090 72.845410 101.960301 139.787058 186.706363 242.094935 311.491230
2025-04-27 43.350920 68.103814 99.996967 142.748147 197.182584 262.851154 346.675394
2025-05-04 38.905250 64.780794 99.322749 146.932483 208.954657 285.180565 384.025394
2025-05-11 34.686921 61.197709 97.835363 149.694320 218.712601 305.001446 418.508927
2025-05-18 28.421746 53.844234 90.478687 143.980179 216.960744 309.990783 434.341371
2025-05-25 24.023700 48.706385 85.691085 141.260140 218.740415 319.196879 455.343847
2025-06-01 20.919068 45.193401 82.894455 140.999657 223.592078 332.263222 481.298872
2025-06-08 18.676210 42.805858 81.531392 142.588494 230.859123 348.493580 511.473439
2025-06-15 17.453174 42.102554 82.781817 148.148261 243.974734 373.012400 553.267282
2025-06-22 15.860887 40.529496 82.518502 151.395789 253.888853 393.434527 590.064574
2025-06-29 13.923894 38.029520 80.525276 151.850582 259.737297 408.392909 619.819592
2025-07-06 12.265141 35.819360 78.804470 152.564666 265.882566 423.786016 650.324355
2025-07-13 11.390610 35.095151 79.545653 157.131193 277.743469 447.240054 691.995971
2025-07-20 10.413463 33.998376 79.521379 160.407772 287.698013 468.139043 730.431077
2025-07-27 9.708798 33.399871 80.316397 164.986609 299.645907 491.959104 773.092280
2025-08-03 8.871761 32.357884 80.199135 168.004159 309.236231 512.537733 811.513774
2025-08-10 7.097318 28.669236 74.775945 161.806004 304.414923 512.356163 821.118355
2025-08-17 5.904297 26.179808 71.401744 158.854044 304.430300 519.001489 840.175187
2025-08-24 5.104305 24.578914 69.638798 158.573618 308.567532 531.621799 867.689900